PiS hits record low in United Surveys poll while KO gains, but no party reaches a solo majority

In brief

• A United Surveys poll for Wirtualna Polska shows Civic Coalition at 30 percent, up 2.8 points.
• Law and Justice falls to 15.5 percent, its lowest level in this poll series.
• Even with its lead, Civic Coalition would not have enough seats to govern alone.

Civic Coalition pulls further ahead

A United Surveys poll for Wirtualna Polska, conducted by IBRiS on 6–9 November, shows Civic Coalition (KO) at 30 percent support (Sondaż WP daje władzę Morawieckiemu. Lider Rozwoju Plus zabrał głos – Wirtualna Polska) (Опитування: партія Качинського зазнала історичного падіння підтримки – Європейська правда). That is a rise of 2.8 percentage points from the start of the month and the largest gain in the survey ([PiS słabnie, KO rośnie, ale i tak bez szans na samodzielne rządy [SONDAŻ] – Onet](https://wiadomosci.onet.pl/kraj/pis-slabnie-ko-rosnie-ale-i-tak-bez-szans-na-rzadzenie-nowy-sondaz/kklpdch)). The lead over Law and Justice (PiS) widened from 9 to 14.5 points.

PiS at its lowest level in the series

PiS dropped 2.7 points to 15.5 percent (Bolesny cios dla PiS. Najnowszy sondaż przynosi partii Kaczyńskiego historyczny dół – Dziennik.pl). Pollsters describe this as the weakest showing for the party in this series of surveys (Tak słabych notowań PiS nie miał nigdy. Jest nowy sondaż WP – Wirtualna Polska). The fall comes after a crisis around the Constitutional Tribunal that began on 30 October, when judge Anna Korwin-Piotrowska announced the suspension of the court's chairman and his deputy. Tusk insists the judges chosen by parliament are legitimate, while President Nawrocki accuses the government of unlawfully taking control of the institution.

Smaller parties

The Confederation stands at 14 percent, up 0.7 points. Grzegorz Braun's Confederation of the Polish Crown has 9.1 percent, down 2.5 points. The Left has 6.8 percent and Mateusz Morawiecki's Rozwój Plus has 6.1 percent, up 0.9 points. Undecided voters make up 10.1 percent.

Party standings in the poll

| Party | Support (%) | Change (pp) | |---|---|---| | Civic Coalition (KO) | 30.0 | +2.8 | | Law and Justice (PiS) | 15.5 | -2.7 | | Confederation | 14.0 | +0.7 | | Confederation of the Polish Crown | 9.1 | -2.5 | | The Left | 6.8 | -0.3 | | Rozwój Plus | 6.1 | +0.9 |

Morawiecki says he will run alone

Mateusz Morawiecki, leader of Rozwój Plus, has said his group will go to the polls independently, rejecting a run on PiS lists. The poll's result still leaves the current opposition short of a governing majority; the figures place the Civic Coalition well ahead of its rivals but without the seats to rule alone.

Read also

• Coalition Faces Poll Pressure as Tusk Pushes for Joint Parliamentary List